Monty's Morph Data
Sample Size: 2444 as of 2/25/2013 (Based on WinterRose's logs combined with in-game logs) Timestamped copy available here(Formatted for copy/paste to Excel): File:MorphLog.txt
Additional 363 morph attempts logged here:File:MorphLog.txt
There seems to be an issue copying directly into Excel. If you copy/paste into notepad, then copy from notepad, it will paste right into excel with proper columns.
Updated to reflect additional attempts for a total of 2807
Range: 140
Level Range: 300-439 Success Rate:27.72% Sample Size: 1277 Level Range: 440-579 Success Rate:47.60% Sample Size: 853 Level Range: 580-719 Success Rate:65.56% Sample Size: 270 Level Range: 720-859 Success Rate:82.14% Sample Size: 84 Level Range: 860-999 Success Rate:99.07% Sample Size: 323
Range: 20
Level Range: 300-319 Success Rate:20.05% Sample Size: 389 Level Range: 320-339 Success Rate:17.20% Sample Size: 93 Level Range: 340-359 Success Rate:19.13% Sample Size: 115 Level Range: 360-379 Success Rate:32.45% Sample Size: 188 Level Range: 380-399 Success Rate:30.33% Sample Size: 122 Level Range: 400-419 Success Rate:36.41% Sample Size: 206 Level Range: 420-439 Success Rate:39.63% Sample Size: 164 Level Range: 440-459 Success Rate:41.10% Sample Size: 146 Level Range: 460-479 Success Rate:38.13% Sample Size: 139 Level Range: 480-499 Success Rate:51.11% Sample Size: 90 Level Range: 500-519 Success Rate:50.69% Sample Size: 217 Level Range: 520-539 Success Rate:49.51% Sample Size: 103 Level Range: 540-559 Success Rate:55.56% Sample Size: 99 Level Range: 560-579 Success Rate:52.54% Sample Size: 59 Level Range: 580-599 Success Rate:59.18% Sample Size: 49 Level Range: 600-619 Success Rate:65.71% Sample Size: 70 Level Range: 620-639 Success Rate:60.87% Sample Size: 46 Level Range: 640-659 Success Rate:78.79% Sample Size: 33 Level Range: 660-679 Success Rate:57.69% Sample Size: 26 Level Range: 680-699 Success Rate:82.61% Sample Size: 23 Level Range: 700-719 Success Rate:60.87% Sample Size: 23 Level Range: 720-739 Success Rate:83.33% Sample Size: 12 Level Range: 740-759 Success Rate:76.47% Sample Size: 17 Level Range: 760-779 Success Rate:68.75% Sample Size: 16 Level Range: 780-799 Success Rate:91.67% Sample Size: 12 Level Range: 800-819 Success Rate:94.12% Sample Size: 17 Level Range: 820-839 Success Rate:75.00% Sample Size: 4 Level Range: 840-859 Success Rate:83.33% Sample Size: 6 Level Range: 860-879 Success Rate:80.00% Sample Size: 5 Level Range: 880-899 Success Rate:100.00% Sample Size: 2 Level Range: 900-919 Success Rate:85.71% Sample Size: 7 Level Range: 920-939 Success Rate:87.50% Sample Size: 8 Level Range: 940-959 Success Rate:100.00% Sample Size: 4 Level Range: 960-979 Success Rate:100.00% Sample Size: 5 Level Range: 980-999 Success Rate:100.00% Sample Size: 292
By Level:
This table excludes 100% and 0% success outliers.
+-------+---------------+-------+ | Level | Success Rate |Sample | +-------+---------------+-------+ |300 |11.38% |123 | |301 |26.67% |30 | |302 |21.05% |19 | |303 |24.32% |37 | |304 |26.09% |23 | |305 |9.52% |21 | |306 |23.08% |13 | |307 |31.58% |19 | |308 |27.27% |11 | |309 |26.67% |15 | |310 |29.41% |17 | |311 |15.38% |13 | |313 |10% |10 | |314 |20% |5 | |315 |42.86% |7 | |316 |60% |5 | |317 |33.33% |3 | |318 |33.33% |3 | |319 |20% |10 | |320 |11.11% |9 | |321 |16.67% |6 | |322 |50% |4 | |323 |20% |5 | |324 |20% |5 | |327 |50% |4 | |331 |50% |4 | |332 |20% |5 | |335 |20% |5 | |336 |28.57% |7 | |339 |50% |2 | |340 |25% |8 | |342 |25% |4 | |344 |50% |4 | |345 |25% |4 | |349 |25% |8 | |350 |16.67% |6 | |353 |28.57% |7 | |355 |11.11% |9 | |357 |85.71% |7 | |358 |16.67% |12 | |359 |28.57% |7 | |360 |33.33% |6 | |361 |58.33% |12 | |362 |11.11% |9 | |363 |25% |8 | |364 |33.33% |9 | |365 |25% |8 | |366 |50% |6 | |367 |25% |12 | |369 |28.57% |7 | |370 |20% |10 | |371 |56.25% |16 | |372 |14.29% |14 | |373 |44.44% |9 | |374 |11.11% |9 | |375 |28.57% |14 | |376 |30.77% |13 | |377 |50% |6 | |378 |50% |8 | |379 |50% |6 | |380 |44.44% |9 | |381 |33.33% |6 | |383 |33.33% |6 | |384 |25% |8 | |385 |37.5% |8 | |386 |33.33% |12 | |388 |60% |5 | |390 |18.18% |11 | |392 |40% |5 | |393 |25% |8 | |394 |20% |5 | |395 |50% |6 | |396 |20% |5 | |397 |25% |4 | |398 |33.33% |6 | |400 |33.33% |27 | |401 |63.64% |11 | |402 |16.67% |6 | |403 |55.56% |9 | |404 |63.64% |11 | |405 |22.22% |9 | |406 |42.86% |7 | |407 |41.67% |12 | |408 |23.08% |13 | |409 |50% |6 | |410 |33.33% |9 | |411 |30% |10 | |412 |30% |10 | |413 |25% |8 | |414 |57.14% |7 | |415 |21.43% |14 | |416 |11.11% |9 | |417 |41.67% |12 | |418 |37.5% |8 | |419 |37.5% |8 | |420 |38.46% |13 | |421 |30% |10 | |422 |37.5% |8 | |423 |20% |5 | |424 |62.5% |8 | |426 |26.67% |15 | |427 |30% |10 | |428 |37.5% |8 | |429 |50% |10 | |430 |10% |10 | |431 |50% |8 | |432 |60% |10 | |433 |28.57% |7 | |434 |60% |5 | |436 |66.67% |9 | |437 |33.33% |6 | |438 |66.67% |6 | |439 |55.56% |9 | |440 |71.43% |7 | |441 |25% |4 | |442 |28.57% |7 | |443 |50% |8 | |444 |44.44% |9 | |445 |22.22% |9 | |446 |14.29% |7 | |447 |44.44% |9 | |448 |28.57% |7 | |449 |50% |10 | |450 |60% |5 | |451 |25% |8 | |452 |33.33% |3 | |453 |38.89% |18 | |454 |50% |10 | |456 |37.5% |8 | |457 |50% |4 | |458 |50% |4 | |459 |33.33% |6 | |460 |42.86% |7 | |461 |50% |6 | |463 |50% |6 | |464 |42.86% |7 | |465 |50% |8 | |466 |35.71% |14 | |467 |50% |10 | |468 |22.22% |9 | |469 |40% |5 | |470 |42.86% |7 | |471 |37.5% |8 | |472 |20% |5 | |473 |40% |5 | |475 |42.86% |7 | |476 |50% |6 | |477 |50% |6 | |478 |50% |4 | |479 |75% |4 | |480 |57.14% |7 | |481 |66.67% |6 | |482 |33.33% |3 | |483 |55.56% |9 | |484 |33.33% |9 | |485 |57.14% |7 | |486 |25% |4 | |487 |66.67% |3 | |488 |71.43% |7 | |489 |33.33% |6 | |490 |25% |4 | |491 |50% |2 | |492 |50% |4 | |495 |33.33% |3 | |496 |33.33% |3 | |497 |60% |5 | |498 |50% |2 | |499 |66.67% |3 | |500 |48.48% |33 | |501 |54.55% |11 | |502 |40.91% |22 | |503 |61.54% |13 | |504 |35.29% |17 | |505 |50% |12 | |506 |58.82% |17 | |507 |66.67% |9 | |508 |71.43% |7 | |509 |44.44% |9 | |510 |28.57% |7 | |511 |28.57% |7 | |512 |37.5% |8 | |513 |50% |2 | |514 |62.5% |8 | |515 |25% |8 | |516 |83.33% |6 | |518 |57.14% |7 | |519 |63.64% |11 | |520 |66.67% |6 | |521 |33.33% |6 | |522 |45.45% |11 | |523 |55.56% |9 | |524 |50% |4 | |525 |33.33% |3 | |526 |66.67% |3 | |527 |57.14% |7 | |528 |16.67% |6 | |529 |25% |4 | |530 |50% |6 | |531 |50% |6 | |532 |75% |4 | |533 |50% |4 | |534 |66.67% |3 | |536 |33.33% |6 | |539 |44.44% |9 | |540 |66.67% |6 | |543 |60% |5 | |544 |37.5% |8 | |545 |50% |8 | |546 |83.33% |6 | |547 |75% |4 | |548 |66.67% |6 | |549 |25% |4 | |550 |42.86% |7 | |551 |75% |4 | |552 |33.33% |3 | |553 |20% |5 | |554 |50% |2 | |555 |62.5% |8 | |556 |40% |5 | |557 |66.67% |6 | |558 |66.67% |6 | |559 |75% |4 | |560 |50% |4 | |561 |50% |2 | |562 |57.14% |7 | |564 |50% |2 | |565 |66.67% |3 | |566 |40% |5 | |567 |40% |5 | |572 |40% |5 | |574 |66.67% |3 | |575 |50% |2 | |576 |25% |4 | |577 |66.67% |3 | |578 |66.67% |3 | |582 |50% |2 | |583 |66.67% |3 | |584 |75% |4 | |586 |66.67% |3 | |587 |50% |4 | |590 |66.67% |3 | |593 |50% |4 | |595 |40% |5 | |596 |60% |5 | |598 |60% |5 | |599 |50% |2 | |600 |37.5% |8 | |602 |75% |4 | |603 |66.67% |3 | |604 |55.56% |9 | |605 |50% |2 | |606 |50% |2 | |609 |75% |4 | |610 |71.43% |7 | |611 |66.67% |3 | |613 |50% |4 | |616 |60% |5 | |617 |50% |2 | |620 |33.33% |6 | |623 |66.67% |3 | |627 |33.33% |3 | |630 |25% |4 | |631 |75% |4 | |635 |50% |2 | |638 |66.67% |3 | |640 |50% |2 | |644 |75% |4 | |656 |50% |2 | |657 |50% |4 | |662 |66.67% |3 | |666 |16.67% |6 | |668 |33.33% |3 | |673 |50% |2 | |687 |50% |2 | |696 |66.67% |3 | |699 |66.67% |3 | |701 |66.67% |3 | |702 |66.67% |3 | |703 |33.33% |3 | |709 |50% |2 | |715 |50% |2 | |726 |50% |2 | |730 |50% |2 | |747 |75% |4 | |757 |50% |2 | |777 |66.67% |3 | |799 |50% |2 | |800 |50% |2 | |934 |50% |2 | +-------+---------------+-------+
Conclusion: Overall numbers show linear rates. Numbers are skewed due to people morphing only at specific levels. Lack of sample data proves inconclusive data. Will report back occasionally for better accuracy with higher sample sizes.